LIU Jie, LIU Ying. Analysis on Risk Factors of Adverse Drug Reactions of Antibiotics in Elderly Inpatients and Establishment of Risk Nomogram Model[J]. 2021,21(1):109-112.
LIU Jie, LIU Ying. Analysis on Risk Factors of Adverse Drug Reactions of Antibiotics in Elderly Inpatients and Establishment of Risk Nomogram Model[J]. 2021,21(1):109-112. DOI: 10.14009/j.issn.1672-2124.2021.01.027.
OBJECTIVE: To explore the risk factors of adverse drug reactions of antibiotics in elderly inpatients and the establishment of risk nomogram model. METHODS: Clinical data of the elderly inpatients who were treated with antibiotics during hospitalization from Jan. 2018 to Jan. 2020 in the Sixth Medical Center of PLA General Hospital were retrospectively analyzed
single factor analysis and Logistic regression multivariate analysis were respectively conducted to analyze independent risk factors of adverse drug reactions
and to establish related nomogram prediction model. RESULTS: Totally 254 elderly inpatients were involved. Age ≥70 years( OR = 3. 012
95% CI =1. 628-5. 575)
abnormal liver and kidney function( OR = 3. 059
95% CI = 1. 400-6. 682)
not in small dose for the first administration( OR = 4. 028
95% CI = 2. 102-7. 721)
medication duration ≥7 d( OR = 2. 974
95% CI = 1. 512-5. 851)
drug combination( OR = 2. 646
95% CI = 1. 402-4. 993) and hospital stay ≥20 d( OR = 2. 898
95% CI =1. 290-6. 511) were the independent risk factors of adverse drug reactions of antibiotics in elderly inpatients( P <0. 05). Based on the above 6 independent risk factors
a nomogram model for predicting adverse drug reactions of antibiotics in elderly inpatients was established and verified
the prediction curve was close to the standard curve
with the consistency index was 0. 793( 95% CI = 0. 763-0. 823)
which indicated that the nomogram prediction model of this study had good accuracy and distinction degree. CONCLUSIONS: Age ≥ 70 years
abnormal liver and kidney function
not in small dose for the first administration
medication duration ≥7 d
drug combination and hospital stay ≥20 d are the independent risk factors of adverse drug reactions of antibiotics in elderly inpatients; the nomogram model established in this study has accurate predictive ability and distinction degree
which is beneficial to clinical screening of high-risk patients and take effective elusion measures.
关键词
老年住院患者抗菌药物不良反应危险因素列线图
Keywords
Elderly inpatientsAntibioticsAdverse drug reactionRisk factorsNomogram