Logistic回归及ROC曲线综合评价CA15-3、CA125、CK19、CEA、AFP和CA199在乳腺癌术后监测中的应用价值

范海燕; 孟凡云; 章阳; 魏仲香; 关众

doi:10.13406/j.cnki.cyxb.2010.11.038

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Logistic回归及ROC曲线综合评价CA15-3、CA125、CK19、CEA、AFP和CA199在乳腺癌术后监测中的应用价值

技术与方法 | 更新时间：2024-01-17

- Logistic回归及ROC曲线综合评价CA15-3、CA125、CK19、CEA、AFP和CA199在乳腺癌术后监测中的应用价值
- Comprehensive evaluation of the diagnostic value of CA15-3,CA125,CK19,CEA,AFP and CA199 for breast cancer’s postoperative monitoring by ROC curve and logistic regression
- 重庆医科大学学报 2010年35卷第11期页码：1693-1696
- 作者机构：
  
  聊城职业技术学院医学院检验教研室
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
  
  聊城职业技术学院2009年科研项目（编号:2009LZY36）
- DOI：10.13406/j.cnki.cyxb.2010.11.038
  中图分类号： R737.9
- 纸质出版日期：2010，
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[1]范海燕,孟凡云,章阳,魏仲香,关众.Logistic回归及ROC曲线综合评价CA15-3、CA125、CK19、CEA、AFP和CA199在乳腺癌术后监测中的应用价值[J].重庆医科大学学报,2010,35(11):1693-1696.

FAN Hai-yan, et al. Comprehensive evaluation of the diagnostic value of CA15-3,CA125,CK19,CEA,AFP and CA199 for breast cancer’s postoperative monitoring by ROC curve and logistic regression[J]. Journal of Chongqing Medical University, 2010,35(11):1693-1696.
[1]范海燕,孟凡云,章阳,魏仲香,关众.Logistic回归及ROC曲线综合评价CA15-3、CA125、CK19、CEA、AFP和CA199在乳腺癌术后监测中的应用价值[J].重庆医科大学学报,2010,35(11):1693-1696. DOI： 10.13406/j.cnki.cyxb.2010.11.038.

FAN Hai-yan, et al. Comprehensive evaluation of the diagnostic value of CA15-3,CA125,CK19,CEA,AFP and CA199 for breast cancer’s postoperative monitoring by ROC curve and logistic regression[J]. Journal of Chongqing Medical University, 2010,35(11):1693-1696. DOI： 10.13406/j.cnki.cyxb.2010.11.038.

摘要

目的:应用Logistic回归模型及受试者工作特征曲线（Receiver operating characteristic curve

ROC曲线）探讨多种血清肿瘤标志物在乳腺癌术后监测中的应用价值。方法:采用化学发光免疫分析法测定34例术后复发转移患者及76例无复发患者的血清CA15-3、CA125、CK19、CEA、AFP、CA199水平

通过组间均值比较和Logistic逐步回归分析筛选出有效指标

并通过ROC曲线评价其在术后复发转移判断中的诊断价值。结果:其中3项血清肿瘤标志物CA15-3、CK19和CEA入选Logistic回归方程

对应的曲线下面积分别为0.974、0.922、0.913

阳性检出率分别为82.4%、73.5%和64.7%。结论:肿瘤标志物CA15-3、CK19、CEA在术后复发或转移诊断中有较高的应用价值

可作为乳腺癌术后监测复发转移的有效指标。

Abstract

Objective:To explore the diagnostic value of a variety of serum tumor markers for breast cancer recurrence and metastasis after operation by receiver operating characteristic curve(ROC curve) and logistic regression.Methods:Serum CA15-3

CA125

CK19

CEA

AFP

CA199 levels were measured by electronic chemiluminescent immunoassay(ECILA) technique in 34 cases of postoperative recurrence and metastasis and in 76 cases without recurrence

screening multiple diagnostic parameters for breast cancer’s postoperative monitoring through the mean comparison between the two groups and logistic stepwise regression analysis

to evaluate the diagnostic value of them in postoperative recurrence and metastasis through ROC curves.Results:Three of serum tumor markers CA15-3

CK19 and CEA were selected into Logistic regression equation.The corresponding areas under the curve were 0.974

0.922

0.913 respectively;the positive detection rates were 82.4%(28/34)

73.5%(25/34) and 64.7%(22/34) respectively.Conclusion:CA15-3

CK19 and CEA have a higher value in the diagnosis of postoperative recurrence or metastasis;therefore it can be used as an effective indicator for monitoring recurrence after operation.

关键词

乳腺肿瘤Logistic模型ROC曲线肿瘤标志CA15-3CK19CEA术后监测

Keywords

Breast cancerLogistic regressionReceiver operating characteristic(ROC)curvesTumor markerCA15-3CK19CEApostoperative monitoring

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