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1. 重庆市长寿区疾病预防控制中心
2. 重庆市长寿区公共卫生中心
纸质出版日期:2021,
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陈娜, 邓静, 雷群建, 等. 2011-2019年重庆市长寿区4类主要慢性病早死概率及变化趋势[J]. 保健医学研究与实践, 2021,18(5):30-34.
Chen Na, Deng Jing, Lei Qunjian, et al. Probability and change trend of premature death of four major chronic diseases in Changshou District of Chongqing from 2011 to 2019[J]. Health Medicine Research and Practice, 2021,18(5):30-34.
陈娜, 邓静, 雷群建, 等. 2011-2019年重庆市长寿区4类主要慢性病早死概率及变化趋势[J]. 保健医学研究与实践, 2021,18(5):30-34. DOI:
Chen Na, Deng Jing, Lei Qunjian, et al. Probability and change trend of premature death of four major chronic diseases in Changshou District of Chongqing from 2011 to 2019[J]. Health Medicine Research and Practice, 2021,18(5):30-34. DOI:
目的分析重庆市长寿区2011-2019年4类主要慢性病(心脑血管疾病、恶性肿瘤、慢性呼吸系统疾病和糖尿病)的早死概率及其变化趋势
为防控主要慢性病提供科学依据。方法对2011-2019年重庆市长寿区全人群死因监测资料进行数据分析
采用SPSS 22.0软件计算人群粗死亡率、标化死亡率以及构成比、早死概率、年度变化百分比(APC)。结果 2011-2019年长寿区主要慢性病粗死亡率及标化死亡率变化趋势差异均无统计学意义(P>0.05)。长寿区主要慢性病早死概率由2011年的17.11%下降至2019年的12.29%
APC为-2.76%
变化趋势差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。各年男性主要慢性病早死概率均高于女性
差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。男性早死概率波动于16.93%~21.90%
APC为-1.49%
变化趋势差异无统计学意义(P>0.05)。女性早死概率由2011年的13.23%下降至2019年的7.48%
APC为-5.07%
变化趋势差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。长寿区人群心脑血管疾病早死概率呈下降趋势
APC为-4.78%
差异有统计学意义(P<0.05);慢性呼吸系统疾病早死概率以年均4.97%的速度下降(P<0.05);而恶性肿瘤与糖尿病早死概率的变化趋势差异则均无统计学意义(P>0.05)。结论 2011-2019年重庆市长寿区主要慢性病早死概率下降明显
但仍处于较高水平
应重点加强该区人群恶性肿瘤与糖尿病的防治工作。
Objective To analyze the probability and change trend of premature death of four major chronic disea-ses(cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases
malignant tumors
chronic respiratory diseases and diabetes) in Changshou District of Chongqing from 2011 to 2019 in order to provide scientific basis for the prevention and con-trol of major chronic diseases. Methods The death cause surveillance data of the whole population in Changshou District of Chongqing from 2011 to 2019 were analyzed. SPSS 22.0 was used to calculate the crude population mortality rate
standardized mortality rate and constituent ratio
premature death probability and annual percent change(APC). Results There was no significant difference in the change trend of crude mortality rate and standardized mortality rate of major chronic diseases in Changshou District from 2011 to 2019(P>0.05). The probability of prema-ture death of major chronic diseases in Changshou District decreased from 17.11% in 2011 to 12.29% in 2019. The APC was-2.76%
and the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05). The probability of premature death of major chronic diseases in males was higher than that in females in each year
and the difference was statistically signifi-cant(P<0.05). The probability of premature death fluctuated in males ranged from 16.93% to 21.90%
with the APC of-1.49%
and there was no significant difference in the change trend(P>0.05). The probability of premature death in females decreased from 13.23% in 2011 to 7.48% in 2019
with the APC of-5.07%
and the difference was statistically significant in the change trend(P<0.05). The probability of premature death of cardiovascular and cerebro-vascular diseases in Changshou District showed a downward trend with the APC of-4.78%
and the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05).The probability of premature death of chronic respiratory diseases decreased at an av-erage annual rate of 4.97%(P<0.05). There was no significant difference in the change trend of premature death probability between malignant tumor and diabetes(P>0.05). Conclusion From 2011 to 2019
the probability of pre-mature death of major chronic diseases in Changshou District decreased significantly. However it was still at a high level
thus
we should focus on strengthening the prevention and treatment of malignant tumors and diabetes in Changshou District.
心脑血管疾病恶性肿瘤慢性呼吸系统疾病糖尿病早死亡概率
Cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseasesmalignant tumorsChronic respiratory diseasesdiabetes mellitusProbability of premature death
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