认知域信息传播的HSIR模型及其数学仿真应用的传播特点研究

陈志毅; 柳雪荣; 张晶轩; 苗宽; 夏凡; 王灵芝; 冯正直

doi:10.16016/j.2097-0927.202207162

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认知域信息传播的HSIR模型及其数学仿真应用的传播特点研究

医学心理学 | 更新时间：2026-01-09

- 认知域信息传播的HSIR模型及其数学仿真应用的传播特点研究
- Cognitive domain information transmission HISR model and its transmission characteristics with mathematical simulation
- 陆军军医大学学报 2023年45卷第13期页码：1450-1455
- 作者机构：
  
  1.400038 重庆，陆军军医大学(第三军医大学)医学心理系
  2.400715 重庆，西南大学心理学部
- 作者简介：
  
  [冯正直，E-mail: fzz@tmmu.edu.cn FENG Zhengzhi, E-mail: fzz@tmmu.edu.cn
- 基金信息：
  
  中央军委科技委员会创新课题(17-163-12-ZT-001-144-01)
- DOI：10.16016/j.2097-0927.202207162
  中图分类号： B841.2;B842.5;R849:E0
- 收稿：2022-07-26，
  
  修回：2022-12-19，
  
  纸质出版：2023-07-15
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
陈志毅, 柳雪荣, 张晶轩, 等. 认知域信息传播的HSIR模型及其数学仿真应用的传播特点研究[J]. 陆军军医大学学报, 2023,45(13):1450-1455.

Zhiyi CHEN, Xuerong LIU, Jingxuan ZHANG, et al. Cognitive domain information transmission HISR model and its transmission characteristics with mathematical simulation[J]. Journal of Army Medical University, 2023, 45(13): 1450-1455.
陈志毅, 柳雪荣, 张晶轩, 等. 认知域信息传播的HSIR模型及其数学仿真应用的传播特点研究[J]. 陆军军医大学学报, 2023,45(13):1450-1455. DOI： 10.16016/j.2097-0927.202207162.

Zhiyi CHEN, Xuerong LIU, Jingxuan ZHANG, et al. Cognitive domain information transmission HISR model and its transmission characteristics with mathematical simulation[J]. Journal of Army Medical University, 2023, 45(13): 1450-1455. DOI： 10.16016/j.2097-0927.202207162.

摘要

目的

构建首个认知域信息传播的动力学理论模型以推动认知域信息攻防的体系建立，并利用仿真数学模型进行概念验证。

方法

在理论构念上提出认知域信息传播的核心-易感-感染-康复传播动力学模型(Hub-Susceptible-Infected-Recovery

HSIR)，基于龙格-库塔法的非线性积分方程进行模型仿真验证。

结果

标准HSIR模型的仿真结果显示，认知域信息在1万人的群体中传播，将在第46天达到峰值，峰值传播感染7 480人，基本再生数为1.3。在模拟分别时滞8、4 d和2 d后对认知域信息传播进行拒止干预，其传播感染峰值感染数不断下降(D8=5 822，D4=4 892，D2=4 126)，其传播感染峰值发生时间不断提前(D8=92，D4=62，D2=41)。

结论

基于HSIR理论模型，本研究提出了认知域信息传播动力学模型，并初步提出了认知域信息攻防体系。

Abstract

Objective

To construct a theoretical model for cognitive domain information transmission (COIT) to promote the establishment of an attack and defense system for COIT

and further to validate it by simulating data in mathematical model.

Methods

A hub-susceptible-infected-recovery (HSIR) model was proposed theoretically to conceptualize COIT

and then the model was validated with Runge-Kutta nonlinear integral equation for mathematical simulation.

Results

Standard HSIR model showed when cognitive domain information was transmitted in a large population of 10 000 people

the peak transmission was observed at Day 46 and 7 480 members were covered

with a basic reproduction number of 1.3. Further

when some measures were taken to obstruct COIT at Days 8

4 and 2

respectively

the number of peak infects people was decreased to 5 822

4 892 and 4 126

with a peak transmission duration shortened by 92

62 and 41 d

in order.

Conclusion

Basing on HSIR model

we bring forward a dynamic model of COPT

and primarily construct a defense system of COPI combat.

关键词

Keywords

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