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纸质出版:2012
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刘明,邓国宏,谭顺,刘洪利,孙小雯,谭文婷,毛青.慢加急性肝衰竭前期临床常规预警指标研究[J].陆军军医大学学报(原第三军医大学学报),2012,34(08):772-775.
Liu Ming,Deng Guohong,Tan Shun,Liu Hongli,Sun Xiaowen,Tan Wenting,Mao Qing.Routine early clinical warning indicators of acute-on-chronic pre-liver failure[J].J Amry Med Univ (J Third Mil Med Univ),2012,34(08):772-775.
刘明,邓国宏,谭顺,刘洪利,孙小雯,谭文婷,毛青.慢加急性肝衰竭前期临床常规预警指标研究[J].陆军军医大学学报(原第三军医大学学报),2012,34(08):772-775. DOI:
Liu Ming,Deng Guohong,Tan Shun,Liu Hongli,Sun Xiaowen,Tan Wenting,Mao Qing.Routine early clinical warning indicators of acute-on-chronic pre-liver failure[J].J Amry Med Univ (J Third Mil Med Univ),2012,34(08):772-775. DOI:
目的 分析慢加急性肝衰竭前期的临床特征,发掘预警肝衰竭发生的指标,建立基于临床指标的早期肝衰竭预警模型。 方法 回顾性分析我科2002年5月至2008年4月慢加急性肝衰竭前期病例50例、慢性乙型肝炎重度病例62例,比较其发病诱因、发病特点以及临床常规辅助检查指标变化特征间差异,并通过Logistic回归建立判断肝衰竭发生风险的模型。 结果 两组病例间性别、发病诱因、黄疸出现时间、有无肝硬化、HBeAg阳性率无显著性差异,CHB重度组患者发病年龄分布范围较大(12~72岁),Pre-ACLF组患者发病年龄较集中(29~69岁),两者有显著差异。首次辅助检查指标中,两组凝血检验指标与TBil存在显著差异。指标的变化速率中,Pre-ACLF组PT、INR、TBil最大增加速率显著高于CHB重度组(P=6.386×10
-11
、1.905×10
-11
、0.006 5)。ACLF发生概率的预警模型为P=1/[1+e^-(-2.414+7.687×PT延长速率)
]
,PT最大延长速率每天增加1 s,肝衰竭的风险增加2 179.045倍。 结论 与CHB重度病例比较,Pre-ACLF病例病变相对较剧烈,主要表现为凝血功能的大幅下降与黄疸的大幅增加。其中PT最大延长速率是预测肝衰竭发生最强的风险因素。
Objective To establish the clinical indicators-based early liver failure warning model by analyzing the clinical characteristics and digging the early warning indicators of prophase acute-on-chronic liver failure (Pre-ACLF). Methods Fifty patients with acute-on-chronic pre-liver failure (group A) and 62 patients with severe chronic hepatitis B (group B) were retrospectively analyzed. Their predisposing factors
disease onset characteristics
and routine clinical indicators were compared. A liver failure risk model was established by logistic regression analysis. Results No significant difference was found in gender
predisposing factors
jaundice-occuring time
liver cirrhosis
and HBeAg positive rate between the two groups. The disease onset age was 12 to 72 years in group B and 29 to 69 years in group A (P0.05). Blood coagulation function test and serum TBil level were significantly different between the two groups. The PT
INR and TBil levels were significantly higher in group A than in group B (P0.05). The incidence of ACLF in the early warning model was P=1/[1+e^-(-2.414+7.687 PT rising rate)]. The maximum rising rate of PT was one second per day and the liver failure risk increased 2 179.045 times. Conclusion The lesion is relatively severer in patients with prophase Pre-ACLF than in those with severe chronic hepatitis B
which is mainly characterized by dramatic blood coagulation function fall and significant jaundice increase. The maximum rising rate of PT is the strongest risk factor for liver failure.
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