Objective  To establish a prediction method for individual stroke risk in Chongqing

and serve it as a theoretical basis of stroke prevention.     Methods  Based on the community residents health census of Chongqing Shapingba Center for Disease Control and Prevention

logistic regression analysis on the original data was carried out to screen the main risk factors of stroke. We translated the relative risk associated with an exposure into a number of disease risk points. The prevalence of risk factor was taken from the China National Nutrition and Health Survey documents in 2002. An individual’s risk of a given or total cardiovascular disease relative to those in the general population of the same gender as the individual was estimated and then expressed qualitatively and quantitatively.    Results  A risk score and population average score table (quantitative criteria for assessment) of main risk factors for stoke was developed for men at different age groups

including education

high salt consumption

physical exercise

family history of hypertension and stroke

diabetes

hypertension and hyperlipidemia. The similar table was developed for women

including education

drinking

high salt consumption

overweight and obesity

family history of hypertension and stroke

diabetes

hypertension and hyperlipidemia.    Conclusion  The Disease Risk Index offers an effective classification and estimation for personal risk of health and disease. It may help to inform individuals of the risk factors and identify changes in lifestyle that will reduce their risk. It lays a foundation for personalized health education and health promotion.