1.400038 重庆,陆军军医大学(第三军医大学)医学心理系
2.400715 重庆,西南大学心理学部
Received:26 July 2022,
Revised:2022-12-19,
Published:15 July 2023
移动端阅览
Zhiyi CHEN, Xuerong LIU, Jingxuan ZHANG, et al. Cognitive domain information transmission HISR model and its transmission characteristics with mathematical simulation[J]. Journal of Army Medical University, 2023, 45(13): 1450-1455.
Zhiyi CHEN, Xuerong LIU, Jingxuan ZHANG, et al. Cognitive domain information transmission HISR model and its transmission characteristics with mathematical simulation[J]. Journal of Army Medical University, 2023, 45(13): 1450-1455. DOI: 10.16016/j.2097-0927.202207162.
目的
2
构建首个认知域信息传播的动力学理论模型以推动认知域信息攻防的体系建立,并利用仿真数学模型进行概念验证。
方法
2
在理论构念上提出认知域信息传播的核心-易感-感染-康复传播动力学模型(Hub-Susceptible-Infected-Recovery
HSIR),基于龙格-库塔法的非线性积分方程进行模型仿真验证。
结果
2
标准HSIR模型的仿真结果显示,认知域信息在1万人的群体中传播,将在第46天达到峰值,峰值传播感染7 480人,基本再生数为1.3。在模拟分别时滞8、4 d和2 d后对认知域信息传播进行拒止干预,其传播感染峰值感染数不断下降(D8=5 822,D4=4 892,D2=4 126),其传播感染峰值发生时间不断提前(D8=92,D4=62,D2=41)。
结论
2
基于HSIR理论模型,本研究提出了认知域信息传播动力学模型,并初步提出了认知域信息攻防体系。
Objective
2
To construct a theoretical model for cognitive domain information transmission (COIT) to promote the establishment of an attack and defense system for COIT
and further to validate it by simulating data in mathematical model.
Methods
2
A hub-susceptible-infected-recovery (HSIR) model was proposed theoretically to conceptualize COIT
and then the model was validated with Runge-Kutta nonlinear integral equation for mathematical simulation.
Results
2
Standard HSIR model showed when cognitive domain information was transmitted in a large population of 10 000 people
the peak transmission was observed at Day 46 and 7 480 members were covered
with a basic reproduction number of 1.3. Further
when some measures were taken to obstruct COIT at Days 8
4 and 2
respectively
the number of peak infects people was decreased to 5 822
4 892 and 4 126
with a peak transmission duration shortened by 92
62 and 41 d
in order.
Conclusion
2
Basing on HSIR model
we bring forward a dynamic model of COPT
and primarily construct a defense system of COPI combat.
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