Correlation of armed conflicts and malaria epidemics in central Africa

Caizhi TANG; Chao TAN; Yu CHEN; Xingshu CHEN; Yongjun LUO

doi:10.16016/j.1000-5404.201812007

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Correlation of armed conflicts and malaria epidemics in central Africa

Public Health and Preventive Medicine | 更新时间：2026-01-09

- Correlation of armed conflicts and malaria epidemics in central Africa
- Journal of Third Military Medical University Vol. 41, Issue 7, Pages: 719-722, 封三(2019)
- 作者机构：
  
  400038 重庆，陆军军医大学(第三军医大学)陆军卫勤训练基地军事医学地理学教研室
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
  
  the Key Special Program of Logistic Scientific Research of PLA(BLJ18J005)
- DOI：10.16016/j.1000-5404.201812007
  CLC： R181.81;R188.46;R531.3
- Received：02 December 2018，
  
  Revised：2019-01-10，
  
  Published：15 April 2019
- 稿件说明：
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Caizhi TANG, Chao TAN, Yu CHEN, et al. Correlation of armed conflicts and malaria epidemics in central Africa[J]. Journal of Third Military Medical University, 2019, 41(7): 719-722, 封三.
DOI：

Caizhi TANG, Chao TAN, Yu CHEN, et al. Correlation of armed conflicts and malaria epidemics in central Africa[J]. Journal of Third Military Medical University, 2019, 41(7): 719-722, 封三. DOI： 10.16016/j.1000-5404.201812007.

摘要

目的

研究中非地区国家武装冲突与疟疾流行的相关性。

方法

收集中非地区7个国家1997-2016年每年疟疾确诊人数、武装冲突次数和武装冲突死亡人数，运用地理信息系统绘制武装冲突地理情况。采用线性回归模型分析武装冲突与疟疾确诊人数之间的关系。

结果

地理信息系统分析结果显示刚果民主共和国是中非地区武装冲突最为频发的国家；Spearman等级相关分析显示：中非地区7个国家中，刚果民主共和国武装冲突次数与疟疾确诊人数呈正相关(

0.05)。线性回归分析结果显示刚果民主共和国年疟疾确诊人数与武装冲突年均次数线性相关。

结论

武装冲突次数与疟疾在刚果民主共和国的流行有明显的关联。

Abstract

Objective

To study the correlation between armed conflicts and malaria epidemic in the countries of central Africa.

Methods

The number of confirmed malaria cases

time of armed conflicts and number of deaths in armed conflicts were collected form the 7 countries of central Africa from 1997 to 2016

and the geographical situation of armed conflicts was drawn using Geographic Information System (GIS). A linear regression model was used to analyze the relationship between armed conflicts and the number of malaria epidemics.

Results

GIS analysis showed that Democratic Republic of the Congo had the highest frequency of the armed conflicts. Spearman rank correlation analysis indicated that among the 7 countries in the central Africa

the number of armed conflicts in the Democratic Republic of the Congo was positively correlated with the number of confirmed malaria cases (

0.05). Linear regression analysis suggested that the number of confirmed malaria cases in the country was linearly related to the annual number of armed conflicts.

Conclusion

The number of armed conflicts is clearly associated with the prevalence of malaria in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.

关键词

Keywords

references

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