1.温州医科大学附属康宁医院临床研究中心/浙江省精神心理疾病临床医学研究中心,温州 325007
2.温州医科大学附属第一医院神经内科,温州 325000
3.温州医科大学附属第一医院产科,温州 325000
4.上海理工大学管理学院,上海 200093
Received:15 October 2025,
Revised:2025-12-15,
Accepted:05 January 2026,
Published:28 April 2026
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周祖木,李芳河,叶淑施,等.基于机器学习的维持性血液透析并发贫血患者的孤独感及影响因素研究[J].重庆医科大学学报,2026,51(4):459-466.
Zhou Zumu,Li Fanghe,Ye Shushi,et al.Loneliness and its influencing factors in patients on maintenance hemodialysis comorbid with anemia:an analysis based on machine learning[J].Journal of Chongqing Medical University,2026,51(4):459-466.
周祖木,李芳河,叶淑施,等.基于机器学习的维持性血液透析并发贫血患者的孤独感及影响因素研究[J].重庆医科大学学报,2026,51(4):459-466. DOI: 10.13406/j.cnki.cyxb.004050.
Zhou Zumu,Li Fanghe,Ye Shushi,et al.Loneliness and its influencing factors in patients on maintenance hemodialysis comorbid with anemia:an analysis based on machine learning[J].Journal of Chongqing Medical University,2026,51(4):459-466. DOI: 10.13406/j.cnki.cyxb.004050.
目的
2
探讨维持性血液透析(maintenance hemodialysis,MHD)并发贫血患者孤独感的发生情况,分析其影响因素,并通过机器学习[卡方自动交互检测(Chi-squared automatic interaction detector,CHAID)决策树分析]与logistic回归模型相结合的方法,识别关键预测变量,为临床干预提供依据。
方法
2
本研究为多中心横断面调查,纳入2024年上半年在5家医院接受MHD治疗且并发贫血的患者共389例。采用加州大学洛杉矶分校(University of California,Los Angeles,UCLA)孤独量表评估孤独感,使用Connor-Davidson心理弹性量表(Connor-Davidson resilience scale,CD-RISC)评估心理弹性水平。收集患者的人口学特征、疾病相关资料及实验室指标。采用SPSS 26.0进行统计分析,运用单因素分析筛选变量,进一步采用二元logistic回归和CHAID决策树分析孤独感的影响因素。
结果
2
389例患者中,272例(69.9%)存在孤独感。logistic回归分析表明,职业(与工人相比,农民
OR
=5.862,95%CI=2.033~16.900;离退休者
OR
=37.085,95%CI=2.135~64.037;无职业者
OR
=29.482,95%CI=7.704~112.830)、婚姻(
OR
=10.474,95%CI=1.322~8.983)、参保类型(
OR
=0.090,95%CI=0.023~0.356)、乙型肝炎(
OR
=9.880,95%CI=2.612~37.372)、失眠(
OR
=3.416,95%CI=1.508~7.736)、糖尿病(
OR
=49.741,95%CI=1.943~273.427)、心理弹性(
OR
=0.016,95%CI=0.003~0.097)为MHD并发贫血患者出现孤独感的影响因素(均
P
<
0.05)。CHAID决策树分析显示,参保类型是MHD并发贫血患者出现孤独感的最重要影响因素,其中医保患者孤独感发生率(51.6%)明显低于农保/社保患者(93.0%)。进一步分析发现,在医保患者中,工人和非工人的孤独感发生率分别为19.2%和69.8%,工人的孤独感发生率低于非工人(
χ
2
=51.13,
P
<
0.001)。而在拥有医保并且是非工人的患者中,有失眠和无失眠的孤独感发生率分别为87.0%和58.8%(
χ
2
=12.47,
P
<
0.001)。
结论
2
MHD并发贫血患者的孤独感发生率较高,且与社会人口学(如职业、婚姻、参保类型)、慢性疾病(如乙型肝炎、糖尿病、失眠)和心理因素(如心理弹性)等密切相关。建议临床针对该人群的高危特征(如农保/社保、非工人、伴失眠)开展分层心理干预。
Objective
2
To investigate the prevalence of loneliness and its influencing factors in patients on maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) comorbid with anemia,to identify key predictive variables by integrating machine learning(Chi-squared Automatic Interaction Detector[CHAID] decision tree) with the logistic regression model,and to provide a basis for clinical intervention.
Methods
2
A multicenter cross-sectional study was conducted among 389 patients comorbid with anemia who underwent MHD in five hospitals during the first half of 2024. The UCLA Loneliness Scale was used to assess loneliness,and the Connor-Davidson Resilience Scale(CD-RISC) was used to assess psychological resilience. The data on demographic features,disease profiles,and laboratory markers were collected. SPSS 26.0 was used to perform statistical analyses,a univariate analysis was used for variable screening,and then binary logistic regression analysis and CHAID decision tree analysis were used to investigate the influencing factors for loneliness.
Results
2
Among the 389 patients,272(69.9%) experienced loneliness. The logistic regression analysis showed that occupation(compared to workers,farmer
OR
=5.862,95%CI=2.033-16.900;retirees
OR
=37.085,95%CI=2.135–64.037,
P
<
0.05,and the unemployed
OR
=29.482,95%CI=7.704–112.830,
P
<
0.05),marital status(
OR
=10.474,95%CI=1.322-8.983,
P
<
0.05),type of health insurance,hepatitis B(
OR
=9.880,95%CI=2.612-37.372,
P
<
0.05),insomnia(
OR
=3.416,95%CI=1.508-7.736,
P
<
0.05),diabetes(
OR
=49.741,95%CI=1.943-273.427,
P
<
0.05),and psychological resilience(
OR
=0.016,95%CI=0.003-0.097,
P
<
0.05) were influencing factors for loneliness in MHD patients comorbid with anemia. The CHAID decision tree analysis showed that type of health insurance was the most important influencing factor for loneliness,and the patients with urban employee basic medical insurance had a significantly lower incidence rate of loneliness than those covered by rural resident medical insurance or social medical insurance(51.6% vs. 93.0%). Fur
ther analysis showed that for the patients with urban employee basic medical insurance,the incidence rate of loneliness was 19.2% in workers and 69.8% in non-workers(
χ
2
=51.13,
P
<
0.001),while for the non-workers with urban employee basic medical insurance,the incidence rate of loneliness was 87.0% in those with insomnia and 58.8% in those without insomnia(
χ
2
=12.47,
P
<
0.001).
Conclusion
2
There is a relatively high incidence rate of loneliness among MHD patients comorbid with anemia,which is closely associated with social demography (such as occupation,marital status,and type of health insurance),chronic diseases (such as hepatitis B,diabetes,and insomnia),and psychological factors(including psychological resilience). It is recommended to implement stratified psychological interventions targeting the high-risk features(such as rural resident medical insurance/social medical insurance,non-workers,and comorbidity with insomnia) in such population.
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