Research on prediction model of learning behavior of clinical medical postgraduates—comparative analysis of linear regression and machine learning
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Research on prediction model of learning behavior of clinical medical postgraduates—comparative analysis of linear regression and machine learning
Vol. 20, Issue 3, Pages: 350-355(2021)
作者机构:
1. 北京医院教育处
2. 国家老年医学中心
3. 中国医学科学院老年医学研究院
4. 北京师范大学教育学部,100875
5. 北京大学公共卫生学院卫生政策与管理学系,100191
6. 北京大学研究生院医学部分院
7. 全国医学专业学位研究生教育指导委员会秘书处办公室
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Published:2021,
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Research on prediction model of learning behavior of clinical medical postgraduates—comparative analysis of linear regression and machine learning. [J]. 20(3):350-355(2021)
DOI:
Research on prediction model of learning behavior of clinical medical postgraduates—comparative analysis of linear regression and machine learning. [J]. 20(3):350-355(2021)DOI:
Research on prediction model of learning behavior of clinical medical postgraduates—comparative analysis of linear regression and machine learning
Objective To compare the prediction efficiency of traditional linear regression model and four machine learning models on the learning behavior of clinical medical postgraduates
and to explore the pros and cons and applicability of different prediction models. Methods A total of 6
922 clinical medical postgraduates were surveyed
their comprehensive learning behavior scores were obtained through the learning behavior scale. In the training set
Lasso linear regression and artificial neural network
decision tree
Bootstrap random forest
and lifting tree were used to build prediction models respectively. The above models were used to predict the validation set data and compare the prediction efficiency. Results The comprehensive learning behavior score of clinical medical postgraduates was (3.31±0.54) points
and the overall compliance rate was 74.02%. In the linear regression model
the influence of age
school level
degree type
learning interest
pressure and satisfaction on learning behavior were statistically significant. In the prediction of validation set
the sensitivity
specificity
and accuracy of the linear regression model were 0.484
0.914
and 0.801
respectively. The indexes of the four machine learning models were higher than those of the traditional linear regression model
and the Bootstrap random forest had the highest elevation. Conclusion The linear regression model has a good prediction effect on learning behavior
and machine learning is superior to linear regression model in terms of accuracy of prediction. However
traditional linear regression models are superior to machine learning models in computational efficiency and interpretability.
关键词
学习行为 预测模型 线性回归 机器学习
Keywords
Learning behavior Prediction model Linear regression Machine learning