Objective    To predict the nutrition and health condition trends of students in China in the next decade.     Methods    Based on the nutrient index-related monitoring data derived from the series of the Chinese National Surveillance on Students’ Constitution and Health accomplished in 1985

1995

2000

and 2005

a multi-variable gray predication model was used to build a mathematic predication model for malnutrition

overweight

and obesity of students in China.     Results    In 2010 and 2015

the maximum mild malnutrition rates of urban male students

urban female students

rural male students

and rural female students were 4.25% and 4.33%

7.37% and 6.65%

5.07% and 6.29%

and 7.37% and 7.88%

respectively; the maximum moderate/severe malnutrition rates 0.18% and 0.20%

0.68% and 0.70%

0.20% and 0.23%

and 0.72% and 0.72%

respectively; the maximum overweight rates 22.89% and 31.86%

16.01% and 20.09%

15.31% and 22.42%

and 11.42% and 14.90%

respectively; and the maximum obesity rates 19.85% and 26.02%

11.18% and 15.49%

10.91% and 18.36%

and 6.13% and 9.55%

respectively.     Conclusion    The 13- to 15-year-old and 16- to 18-year-old students will constitute the important intervention population of malnutrition in the future. The 10- to 12-year-old students will constitute the important intervention populations of overweight and obesity in the future. The mild malnutrition population will probably decrease in the future

more significantly in the urban students than in the rural students. The moderate/severe malnutrition population will not have significant decrease or increase trend in the future

with no remarkable difference between the urban students and the rural students. In the future

the overweight and obesity populations will increase

more significantly in the urban students than in the rural students and more significantly in the male students than in the female students. Obesity will materially imperil the health of the students in China in the future.